Special Interest
COMET Winter Weather Distance Learning Course
This course provides two separate learning paths through modules and webcasts available on MetEd, reviewing key topics in winter weather forecasting.
Northern-Latitude Meteorology
If you are interested in winter weather meteorology, you may be interested in taking advantage of many of the features of our special Website on Northern-Latitude Meteorology.
This site provides access to education and training materials on meteorological topics of interest especially in Canada, Alaska, and the northern-tier states of the U.S.
Outreach Program Report
A COMET Outreach Program partnership between the Univ. of Northern Iowa and the La Crosse, Wisconsin NWS Forecast Office provided a foundation for applying downscaling information at the La Crosse WFO, as well as in the surrounding area. Downscaling is the process whereby national products, forecasts and information are scaled down to the WFO to provide local application of the national information. The project fits in with the national initiative to enhance local information related to national longer-range forecast issuances and provides very useful information that can be applied to future downscaled forecast products. See the report: The correlation between October temperature anomalies and winter temperature anomalies in the Midwest during El Niño events.
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Materials: Courses | Modules | Case Studies | Translated Modules | Lectures
Distance Learning Courses
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Course Title and Link |
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Winter Weather Distance Learning Course
description (click to show/hide) |
Description:
This course provides two separate learning paths through modules and webcasts available on MetEd, reviewing key topics in winter weather forecasting. By using our Registration & Assessment system, you can track your progress in one or both parts of the course and receive a course completion certificate.
Estimated time to complete: 8-9 h
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Modules
content level: 0=for non-scientists, 1=basic, 2=intermediate, 3=advanced
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Module Title and Link |
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Anticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk
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Description:
Hazardous weather affects us all. To help local emergency managers cope with weather hazards they may face, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service (NWS) offer a course titled Hazardous Weather and Flooding Preparedness. However, many people who make weather-related decisions are unable to attend this 2-3 day course.
The purpose of this Web-based course, Anticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk, is to provide background on weather and weather hazards for emergency managers and other decision makers. This course is intended to complement on-site courses offered by FEMA and NWS, so that they can focus on local hazards and community risk factors.
This course covers…
Weather: How and why it forms,
Hazardous weather: Fact sheets on different phenomena,
Forecasting weather: The forecast process and products issued by the NWS,
Warning Partnership: How the NWS and emergency managers generate and communicate warnings, and a
Desktop Exercise: An opportunity to apply what you have learned in a flash flood scenario.
FEMA Independent Study credit is available for those who complete the course and pass the exam. The subject matter experts for Anticipating Hazardous Weather and Community Risk are Randall C. Duncan, CEM - Sedgwick County (KS) Emergency Management, Bob Glancy - NWS, Bob Goldhammer - Polk County (IA) Emergency Management, Curt Nellis - County of Shenandoah (VA) Department of Fire and Rescue, John Ogren - NWS, and Bruce Sterling - Portsmouth (VA) Emergency Management.
Objectives:
• Explain basic processes that cause and/or signal hazardous weather
• List the main weather hazards and the factors that determine community risk
• Describe the basic weather forecasting process and its limitations
• Discuss various techniques for communicating information about weather hazards
• Distinguish which NWS forecast products are appropriate in various situations
• Analyze various source of information about a weather hazard and formulate a plan for dealing with a potential disaster
Estimated time to complete: 4-5 h
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2001-03-08
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Barrier Jet Forecasting: Eastern Foothills and High Plains of Colorado, 17-20 March 2003
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Quiz
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Description:
This case exercise looks at a barrier jet event over central and eastern Colorado that took on historic significance in terms of snow amounts and variability in snow distribution. The module emphasizes the mechanisms for producing both very large accumulations and extreme small-scale variability. These mechanisms involved both dynamic and thermodynamic processes in this storm. Model and observed analyses and forecasts are considered in detail as the storm unfolds.
Objectives:
• Analyze a Rocky Mountain Front Range heavy precipitation event to determine the influence of a barrier jet on both precipitation type and amount.
• Forecast critical storm features in a barrier jet case, including winds and precipitation type and intensity.
• Monitor the development of the barrier jet features in the context of the larger-scale forcing.
• Examine the important processes governing the termination of the storm.
Estimated time to complete: 2-3 h
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2006-07-27
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Blowing Snow: Baker Lake, Nunavut, Canada 04-10 February 2003
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Quiz
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Description:
This case exercise takes an in-depth look at a blowing snow event in the northern mainland of Canada. The case addresses specific low-level wind and snow conditions. Model data, satellite imagery, and observations are provided for assessing the potential for blowing snow and blizzard conditions as the event unfolds.
Objectives:
1. Review the winter climatology of this central Canadian region.
2. Recognize the specific low-level wind and snow conditions conducive to blowing snow/blizzard conditions.
3. Recognize the common synoptic patterns associated with a blowing snow event.
4. Consider the wind speed and direction forecasts for this event.
5. Examine the cessation of blowing snow conditions, from a forecasting standpoint.
Estimated time to complete: 60 min
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2004-11-08
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Canadian EPV Charts
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No Quiz
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Description:
The goal of the EPV chart is to aid operational forecasters in predicting CSI and slantwise convection. The description includes links to the online chart, which is updated twice daily by the CMC, as well as a list of synoptic considerations that will support your use of the EPV chart in identifying regions favorable for CSI and slantwise convection.
Estimated time to complete: 20 min
Includes audio: no
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2002-01-05
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Cold Air Damming
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Quiz
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Description:
Cold Air Damming is part of the Mesoscale Meteorology Primer series. This module first presents a Navy forecast scenario prior to the development of a major cold air damming (CAD) event along the east slopes of the Appalachian Mountains. Then, from a conceptual standpoint, the classic CAD scenario is described in detail, both from an observational and modeling standpoint.
Objectives:
After completing this module, the learner should be able to do the following things:
Characterize cold air damming
• Identify the elements that are required for a CAD event.
• Identify sensible weather phenomena associated with cold air damming.
• Describe the nature and importance of overrunning winds in a CAD event.
• Describe the conditions leading to a barrier jet during a CAD event.
• Identify the origin of precipitation particles in a CAD event.
• Locate the deepest part of the pool of cold air in a CAD event.
Classify CAD events
• Recognize the three different types of CAD events.
• Recall the different cooling processes important to cold air damming.
• Describe the role different cooling processes play in the different types of CAD events.
• Match cooling processes to their respective causes.
Describe the climatology of cold air damming
• Identify geographically where CAD events occur.
• Remember the climatology of CAD events for the following:
• Seasonal occurrence,
• Probability of occurrence, and
• Duration of events
Identify a CAD event
• Identify a CAD event from synoptic MSLP, 850 mb, and 500 mb pressure charts.
• Identify a CAD event from soundings.
• Identify a CAD event from surface observations.
Forecast the start of a CAD event
• Using MSLP charts, identify the synoptic conditions that lead to cold air damming for the Appalachians and other mountain ranges, including the Rocky Mountains, Alps, and Andes.
• Identify atmospheric conditions that lead to terrain blocking and cold air damming.
• Recognize the limitations of forecast models in a predicting a CAD event.
Forecast the end of a CAD event
• Using synoptic charts, choose the charts that indicate dissipation of a CAD event in a 24-hour time frame.
• From soundings, recognize the atmospheric conditions leading to dissipation of a CAD event.
• Identify surface observations that indicate the dissipation of a CAD event.
Estimated time to complete: 1-1.5 h
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2001-06-18
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Dynamics & Microphysics of Cool-Season Orographic Storms
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Quiz
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Description:
In this Webcast, Dr. James Steenburgh, working for the Department of Meteorology and the NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction at the University of Utah, takes a look at cool-season orographic storms in western North America. He provides a brief microphysics review, an overview of cool-season orographic precipitation processes in several mountain ranges, and a look at forecasting tools and techniques. This Webcast is based on a classroom presentation given in Boulder, CO in December 2002.
Objectives:
• Improve knowledge of orographic precipitation processes and their geographical, climatological, and storm-to-storm variability.
• Build or enhance your orographic precipitation forecasting tool chest.
• Illustrate the strengths and weaknesses of quantitative precipitation forecasts by high-resolutions models in complex terrain.
Estimated time to complete: 1 h
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2004-08-09
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Feature Identification Exercises: Clouds, Snow, and Ice Using MODIS
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Quiz
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Description:
This module consists of four exercises where users identify surface features, distinguish clouds from snow on the ground, and determine cloud phase using multispectral analysis. The module also includes an overview of multispectral techniques available on many operational and research polar-orbiting satellites. A page with links to real-time polar-orbiting data and information is also included.
Objectives:
• State the properties of the 1.6 micrometer channel used in feature identification
• State the properties channels in the 3.5 to 4 micrometer region in feature identification
• List the advantages and limitations of the 1.6 micrometer channel in cloud identification
• List the advantages and limitations of the 1.6 micrometer channel in identifying snow on the ground
• List the advantages and limitations of channels in the 3.5 to 4 micrometer region for cloud identification
• List the advantages and limitations of channels in the 3.5 to 4 micrometer region in identifying snow on the ground
• Apply the properties of the visible, IR Window, 1.6 micrometer, and 3.7 micrometer channels to:
o Distinguish clouds from snow on the ground
o Determine the phase (ice or water) of clouds
o Detect the presence of fog
o Distinguish open water from ice-covered areas of lakes and rivers
Estimated time to complete: 1-2 h
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2002-07-03
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Forecasting Aviation Icing: Icing Type and Severity
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Quiz
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Description:
This module discusses the current theories of atmospheric conditions associated with aircraft icing and applies the theories to the icing diagnosis and forecast process. The contribution of liquid water content, temperature, and droplet size parameters to icing are examined. Identification of icing type, icing severity, and the hazards associated with icing features are presented. Tools to help diagnose atmospheric processes that may be contributing to icing and the special case of supercooled large drop (SLD) icing are examined and applied in short exercises.
The use of graphics, animations, and interactive exercises in Forecasting Aviation Icing: Icing Type and Severity helps the forecaster to gain an understanding of icing processes, to identify icing hazards, and to apply diagnosis and forecast tools as aids to evaluate and anticipate potential aircraft icing threats.
The subject matter expert for this module is Dr. Marcia Politovich of
NCAR/Research Applications Program.
This module is also available in French.
Objectives:
The goal of this training module is to help you improve your icing forecasts by
1. Becoming more familiar with the types, conditions, and hazards of aircraft icing.
2. Learning what factors determine icing type and severity, and how they interrelate.
3. Knowing what physical processes create favorable icing conditions.
4. Recognizing the types of mesoscale environments that generate such physical processes.
5. Learning some techniques to apply and patterns to look for when diagnosing data products for possible icing threats.
Performance Objectives
A. Aircraft Icing
1. Name and distinguish between the main types of in-flight aircraft icing; rank them in terms of potential hazard to aviation.
2. Describe the conditions under which the main types of in-flight aircraft icing form.
3. Name and distinguish between the four icing severity reporting categories used by pilots.
B. Icing Factors
1. Name the main factors that determine the type and severity of icing to expect in a given environment.
2. Identify ranges of values for liquid water content, temperature, and altitude that are most favorable to icing.
3. Describe the influence of droplet size on ice collection efficiency and accretion pattern.
4. Predict the most likely icing type and severity level to expect for given ranges of cloud liquid water content, temperature, and droplet size.
C. Icing Environments and Physical Processes
1. Describe the impact to icing of each of the six categories of water phase transitions.
2. Describe several of the most favorable synoptic and mesoscale environments for development of hazardous icing conditions:
• Three patterns that enhance cloud formation and hence icing potential
• Three environments that are especially conducive to supercooled large drop formation
• Two physical processes that support supercooled large drop formation
• Cloud-top conditions most favorable to supercooled large drop formation
D. Data Assessment
1. Assess the icing threat in various layers of skew T-log p diagrams.
2. Identify favorable areas and layers for supercooled large drop formation integrating:
• GOES 3.9 micron imagery
• Skew-T diagrams
• Profiler data
• WSR-88D reflectivity and velocity
• Surface precipitation observations
Estimated time to complete: 3-5 h
Includes audio: no
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 1998-03-13
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Freezing and Melting, Precipitation Type, and Numerical Weather Prediction
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Quiz
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Description:
This Webcast is based on a COMET classroom presentation by Dr. Gary Lackmann at the 2nd MSC Winter Weather Course held in Boulder, Colorado on 22 February 2002. Dr. Lackmann reviews the basic thermodynamics of freezing and melting and how operational models represent these processes. He also touches upon the biases that occur in the models by looking at examples of melting snow aloft, melting snow at the surface, freezing aloft (ice pellets), and freezing rain. Dr. Lackmann is a faculty member in the Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences at North Carolina State University.
Objectives:
1. Examine four thermodynamic scenarios closely, each of which produces a different precipitation situation.
2. Compare sounding, radar, and model signatures associated with these scenarios.
3. Compare the representation of these thermodynamic processes in operational models at and near the surface.
4. Become aware of potential problems with the model forecasts.
5. Examine the limiting processes and requirements for freezing rain.
Estimated time to complete: 35 min
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2002-07-03
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Heavy Banded Snow
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Quiz
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Description:
This webcast is based on a presentation by Dr. Moore MSC/COMET Winter Weather Workshop in Boulder, CO, 4 December 2002. In it, he covers the definition of the TROWAL and its role in heavy snow production in the form of bands primarily located to the northwest of the surface low. The various conveyor belts associated with mature winter cyclones are emphasized. The roles of mid-level frontogenesis and conditional symmetric instability in these systems are discussed in the context of heavy snow development.
Objectives:
1. Examine the structure of a mature midlatitude cyclone from the conveyor belt standpoint.
2. Understand how areas where equivalent potential vorticity < 0 are conducive to conditional symmetric instability and snowbands.
3. Demonstrate the positive interaction between frontogenesis and zones favorable for CSI.
4. Compare these features in two CONUS case studies.
Estimated time to complete: 45 min
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2003-09-23
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Icing Assessment Using Observations and Pilot Reports
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Quiz
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Description:
This Web-based learning module is the second title in a series of modules about the use of diagnostic tools to evaluate icing type and severity. Marcia Politovich of the NCAR Research Applications Program (RAP) is the principle subject matter expert. The module teaches how to assess surface observations, upper-air charts, and pilot reports (PIREPs) in order to diagnose the aviation icing environment. Topics include strengths, weaknesses, and appropriate uses of these data, data assessment methods, interpretation and evaluation of PIREPs, and a bottom-up procedure for integrated icing diagnosis at a particular location. This module includes numerous practice exercises allowing learners to improve their skills in icing assessment using these basic observational tools.
Objectives:
The goal of this training module is to help you improve your skill in using observational and pilot report data to locate areas and layers that are likely to have favorable conditions for in-flight aircraft icing.
Performance Objectives
Use surface observations to evaluate:
• precipitation location & type
• temperatures
• cloud cover & type, ceiling heights
• air mass configurations (indicated by fronts, low pressure centers, etc.)
Use upper-air charts and analyses to evaluate:
• cloud layers, cloud tops, likely cloud phase
• temperature structure
And interpret PIREPs to:
• identify location, altitude and time of icing reports
• identify icing type & severity reported
• assess the spatial extent of icing based on reports
Based on these:
• infer likely precipitation and temperature structure above a location
• locate likely areas and layers containing supercooled liquid water (SLW) & freezing precipitation
• assess applicability of PIREPs
• identify areas without icing PIREPs that are likely to contain icing conditions
• track trends and changes in icing conditions
Estimated time to complete: 1-2 h
Includes audio: no
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 1999-04-08
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Icing Assessment Using Soundings and Wind Profiles
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No Quiz
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Description:
Marcia Politovich of the NCAR Research Applications Program (RAP) is the principle subject matter expert for this
Web-based learning module. The module teaches how to assess vertical profiles of wind, temperature, dewpoint, and frost point in order to diagnose airmass characteristics, cloud layers, and possible aviation icing layers. Topics include strengths, weaknesses, and appropriate uses of rawinsonde and profiler data for assessment of aviation icing, icing characteristics of the different extratropical cyclone air masses, identification of dry and saturated layers and possible zones of favorable conditions for aircraft icing, and ice seeding and glaciation processes. If you wish, you may launch the module from this location. Note: This module requires use of the companion CD-ROM called The Icing Event of 6 March 1996.
Objectives:
The goal of this training module is to help you improve your skill in using sounding and profiler data to locate areas and layers that are likely to have favorable conditions for in-flight aircraft icing.
Performance Objectives
• Analyze skew-T diagrams and wind profile time series to identify the likely extratropical cyclone air masses influencing them.
• Describe the typical characteristics of the different extratropical cyclone air masses as they relate to aviation icing conditions.
• Analyze profiles of temperature, dewpoint, frost point, and winds in skew T-log p diagrams to identify dry and saturated layers and possible zones of favorable conditions for aircraft icing.
• Apply knowledge of ice seeding and glaciation processes to various cloud layer configurations to anticipate the evolution of icing conditions.
• Describe strengths, weaknesses, and appropriate uses of rawinsonde and profiler data for assessment of aviation icing.
Estimated time to complete: 1-2 h
Includes audio: no
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 1999-04-08
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Inverted Troughs and Their Associated Precipitation Regimes
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Quiz
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Description:
This Webcast features Phil Schumacher, NWS Sioux Falls, South Dakota discussing the conditions that dictate the location of precipitation relative to inverted troughs. Phil presents a composite case study based on collaborative research with Dr. R. Weisman and others, as well as two examples of inverted trough events in the Central Plains. This presentation is based on his presentation at the MSC Winter Weather Course, December 2002, in Boulder, Colorado. The webcast is accompanied by a case exercise, Inverted Trough Case Exercise.
Objectives:
1. Describe inverted troughs and their associated precipitating features.
2. Present the results of a composite inverted trough study, based on the differences between inverted troughs that produce precipitation ahead vs. behind the trough.
3. Demonstrate the use of isentropic techniques in diagnosing important inverted trough features.
4. Look at several case studies demonstrating the impact of inverted troughs on precipitation distributions.
Estimated time to complete: 60 min
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2004-01-29
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Inverted Troughs Case Exercise
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No Quiz
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Description:
This exercise follows the progression of a winter weather event across the Central Plains states beginning 1200 UTC on 7 March 1999. Each forecast question is accompanied by Eta model data and includes a forecast discussion by Phil Schumacher, NWS Sioux Falls, South Dakota. This exercise compliments the Webcast, Inverted Troughs and their Associated Precipitation Regimes, based on a presentation by Phil Schumacher at the MSC Winter Weather Course, December 2002, in Boulder Colorado.
Objectives:
1. Identify whether precipitation will be primarily ahead or behind an inverted by applying the conceptual model of inverted trough precipitation organization.
2. Use isentropic analysis to view the affect inverted troughs have on moisture transport and the implied lift associated with inverted troughs.
3. Use the conceptual model of inverted trough precipitation organization to determine the approximate beginning and ending time for significant precipitation associated with inverted troughs.
Estimated time to complete: 45 min
Includes audio: no
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2004-01-29
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Isentropic Analysis
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Quiz
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Description:
This Webcast, presented by Dr. Jim Moore of St. Louis University, covers the advantages and applications of diagnosis and visualization of large-scale flow and vertical motion on surfaces of constant potential temperature. The movement of moisture along these surfaces is emphasized, as is the diagnosis of the components of vertical motion. Background mathematical concepts are presented, then illustrated with soundings, cross sections, and plan view analyses of data from multiple cases.
Objectives:
1. Understand the concepts of pressure advection and system relative flow.
2. Understand dynamic destabilization and associated environmental moistening.
3. Diagnose static stability, upper fronts and CSI in this framework.
4. Examine at frontogenesis and transverse jet streak circulations on vertical cross sections with analyzed potential temperature fields.
5. Examine the components of vertical motion in an isentropic framework.
6. Compare the advantages and disadvantages of isentropic analysis.
7. Examine a wintertime case study utilizing isentropic analysis.
Estimated time to complete: 1 h
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2002-11-19
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Jet Streak Circulations
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Quiz
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Description:
This Webcast is based on a presentation given by Dr. James T. Moore of Saint Louis University at the 5th Annual MSC/COMET Winter Weather Workshop on 30 November 2004 in Boulder, Colorado. Dr. Moore reviews many aspects of jet streak dynamics including convergence/divergence, ageostrophic winds, propagation, and coupled jets.
Objectives:
• Define "jetstreak"
• Note the divergence associated with upper-level waves
• Describe the relationship of divergence with vertical windshear
• Describe the relationship of the ageostrophic wind components with upper-level and low-level jets
• Compare the direct thermal circulation in the entrance region with the indirect thermal circulation in the exit region of an upper-level jet
• Identify how the curvature of an upper-level jet affects divergence and convergence
• Describe the impact thermal advection has on vertical motion and entrance and exit circulations
• Gain an understanding of the characteristics of unbalanced jets and coupled jets
Estimated time to complete: 50 min
Includes audio: yes
Required plug-ins: Flash RealPlayer Java Adobe® Reader®
* Plug-in information
Last published on: 2005-04-25
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Mesoscale Aspects of Winter Weather Forecasting Topics
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No Quiz
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Description:
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